But the days of Brees sprinkling in an occasional shot over the top seem to be over. Simply put, its difficult to build an effective offense around short throws that disproportionately target players coming out of the backfield. Right - this gets into a bit of trying to decide where the QB was trying to throw the ball - which seems like an exercise in futility. Coming in at No. Infamous in prior seasons for checking the ball down, Alex Smith's 2017 saw him throw the deep ball with better touch than ever before. Three-point Field Goals Made Per Game. He also showed impressive touch on passes of 25 to 29 yards and on passes of 35 to 39 yards, ranking in the top five in both ranges. Winston was incredibly productive, but it always came at a cost, one that NFL teams have apparently decided is too much to live with for a while. Birth State: Texas. NAME SEASON TM GP PCT CMP ATT YDS AVG YDS/G TD TD% INT INT% SCK SCKY RATE; Drew Brees: 2001: SD. Neil Paine was the acting sports editor at FiveThirtyEight. And yet, the Saints are defying all that this season, with Brees passing well and the New Orleans offense once again ranking among the top 10 in EPA, as it has every season since Brees arrived in 2006. Wilson had the second-most completions on these passes last season, trailing only Jameis Winston, and Wilson also tied for the second-most deep touchdowns. However, Rivers did also suffer from the second-most drops in the league, and accounting for those drops jumps his completion rate up five places on its own. Arguably the best quarterback in football right now, Patrick Mahomes was a devastating deep passer in 2019 despite battling through a series of injuries throughout the year. That inaccurate completions number is a perfect illustration of Keenum's luck last year and why the Vikings were right to let him go. 11:36 AM, Drew Brees of the New Orleans Saints is having one of the most interesting quarterback seasons in recent memory. Cian Fahey, who charted every single pass every QB threw and used to write for FO, had this to say about Brissett: "Jacoby Brissett was the best deep sideline passer in the NFL in 2017, second best to the left sideline and fourth best to the right sideline. Please note that the four most important stats to consider are accuracy percentage (ACC%), Inaccurate Completions (INACC CMP), Accurate Incompletions (ACC INCMP), and Efficiency Score. Drew Brees has a great deep ball, but he is limited. What really helped him was that he took good care of the football and had solid all-around accuracy percentages, which means he wasn't punished outside of the inaccurate completions. The pass is intercepted and the quarterback is at fault. Brees is statistically one of the worst deep-ball throwers in the league and the Buccaneers need to take advantage According ESPN Stat & Info , Brees is throwing short passes at a historically . Stroud Falls to Colts in GTM's Final Mock Draft, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets: Low Floor, Low Ceiling, QBASE 2023: Why Bryce Young Tops C.J. If a QB is more selective in picking their spots to go deep, they'll get their deep throw highlights without the accompanying misses on lower percentage deep throws. That is, did their attempts contain all the discrepancies between the 2 methodologies (& thus had hugely different rankings). Every passing list Lamar Jackson finds himself in the middle of this offseason is a massive win for both him and the Ravens, given where he started from as a passer. Making it under pressure or in a tight window adds one point to make it seven. Completion percentage is a highly valued stat in football, and while that's included in the Deep Ball Project, a greater emphasis is played on accuracy percentage. But if thats not good enough, you can also compare his results with others. Plays where the receiver fails to keep two feet in bounds or in the end zone. Taylor throws a pretty deep pass, and he used to drop dimes with regularity early in his career. Plays where the receiver fails to win at the catch point despite being given a reasonable angle to catch the ball. NFL All-Time QB Records: Season and Career Leaders - Pro Football Network What's the point of that? but Brissett's ranking is very difficult to accept, especially considering: According to ESPN, he completed 10 of 35 attempts over 20 yards in 2017. Get the latest news, stats, videos, highlights and more about quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. (The All-Pro has been injured since Week 1.). Every throw that reaches at least 16 yards in the air is constituted as a downfield pass. In reply to Re: I do not want to be trollish or dismissive by Hoodie_Sleeves. Cooks caught seven 50-yard touchdowns from Brees. Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | Responsible Gaming, Support Football Outsiders' independent media. For what it's worth, though, he handled the change to a vertical offense really well. Career Stats: Brees: 249 Games, 66.9% completion, 70,445 yards, 488TDs, 228 Ints, QB Rating 96.7. The following browsers are supported: Chrome, Edge (v80 and later), Firefox and Safari. Birth date: January 15, 1979. Its the appendage that has carried Brees through a spectacular 20-year NFL career, earning him a Super Bowl championship and the all-time records for passing yards, completions, and completion percentage. 80,358. Because some of the accuracy percentages achieved by the subjective grading system are radically different from the percentages based on straightforward completions/attempts. In 2017, he was 7-for-15 on such throws. The Eagles won, the Falcons and Patriots made some interesting decisions (for better or worse), and late-round quarterbacks are coming out of the woodwork. Drew Brees had a passer rating of 97.1 with 8,695 yards, 54 touchdowns and 27 interceptions in 29 games against the Falcons in his career. 3rd in 2000, Draft: 2nd round, 32nd overall of the 2001 NFL draft by the San Diego Chargers, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Monday, May 1, 6:49AM. Drew Brees Career Stats | StatMuse All rights reserved. Looking ahead: Among Week 8s slate of games, weve got our eye on Sunday afternoons clash between the Steelers and Ravens. No passer could match the 13 touchdowns Mahomes managed on deep targets they were two more than the next closest quarterback. How each team ranks through Week 7 of the 2020 season, according to our quarterback-adjusted predictions. Gender: Male. Prescott threw for the third-most yards on these plays and had the third-most completions. In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by hoegher. Stephen A. Smith details why Lamar Jackson is better positioned for a Super Bowl run than Aaron Rodgers. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. Looking at Savage vs Watson and Foles vs Wentz, it would appear the price of mobility is increasing rates of throwing on the move, but with the bump of less pressure and more open windows. Which teams crushed the draft, and which came up short? Were previewing the conference semifinals by answering one burning question about every matchup. A concern for Watson is that he had the highest rate of off-balance throws (and the second-highest total of off-balance throws to Derek Carr). at Drew Brees Deep Ball Accuracy Career | StatMuse How big of a role did Sean Payton play in Drew . Ranking all 32 NFL quarterbacks by deep passing performance: Dak - PFF That year, Brees led the league in passing yards and touchdowns on deep throws, going 32 for 58 with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Starter is currently injured and may not play. But something changed in 2017. Matthew Stafford has the totals but lacks in accuracy. He has just one completion. More NFL Draft Takeaways. 1: 55.6: 15: 27: 221: 8.2: This is not to say that Breess career is over, or that the Saints are doomed in 2020. energy, but Fitzpatrick was actually uncharacteristically conservative last year. His completion rate and other numbers werent terrible on those plays; the Raiders just need to find a way to coax him into attempting more of them and must surely be hoping that Henry Ruggs III will be the player to help that. However, his adjusted completion rate was one of the worst figures in all of football, and he had the highest rate of uncatchable, inaccurate passes on those targets. Tom Brady was slightly below average, which isn't really that surprising. Only four quarterbacks had more big-time throws on deep shots than Mayfields 23, but those plays resulted in just seven touchdowns. After all the passes are tallied up, the final number of points is divided by the amount of downfield passes. The main question here is whether the pass was really off target or adjusted away from coverage. The Day Kansas City Drafted Patrick Mahomes, Aidan O'Connell, Tanner McKee, and the Day 3 QBs, Jaxon Smith-Njigba Highlights Deep Class of WRs, Most Undervalued Players in a 2023 Fantasy Football Draft, Colts Take Will Levis in Latest Mock Draft. Jeff Legwold explains why the Broncos picked up Jerry Jeudy's rookie option. Dialing back his aggressiveness actually seemed to help his efficiency, though his PFF grade doesnt match the output, thanks in large part to DeVante Parker Mossing players like Stephon Gilmore down the stretch. Ryan lacked the stellar stats of his MVP year in 2016, but that's because the departure of Kyle Shanahan produced far fewer open windows and he had 18 accurate incompletions (accurate passes that the receiver failed to catch). Had several overthrows when tasked with deep throws down sideline versus man coverage. He played only two seasons with the Saints, but caught four 50-yard touchdowns from Brees. Exclusive Premium Content For Subscribers. That is 21.4 yards/attemp. Trevor Siemian trailed him with the second-highest rate, which is not surprising considering how poor the Denver Broncos' offensive line is. This is the fourth edition of the Deep Ball Project, which of course means I have been doing this since 2014. Interpreted as: deep ball completion percent with a minimum of 1500 passing attempts leaders. Or, in what counted as a fairly-targeted pass (not hit, etc)). Overview; News; Stats; Bio; . Only three quarterbacks lost more completions and only three quarterbacks lost more yards. Brown. Tyrod Taylor was the only quarterback to be accurate on all of his passes to open windows. Though he didn't have the lowest accuracy percentage, the inaccurate completions, interceptions, and dropped picks severely lowered Keenum's efficiency score. The Saints likely need it if they are to win that elusive second championship. Please see our Contributors and Sources page for data source details. Drew Brees, , - Career Stats - MLB - CBSSports.com But in the past, Brees did have the most air yards. Justin Herbert (66.9%), Clutch Yes. Or on sideline routes the QB might put it up high enough that the receiver catches it or it is OOB. Grading Every Teams Performance in the 2023 NFL Draft. Drew Brees: Career retrospective - MSN Prescott's sophomore season has gotten a reputation as being a step down from his rookie campaign, but his downfield accuracy was actually terrific. Best Known For: NFL quarterback Drew Brees . 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. Play-action bombs can be most effective on first down, when both offenses and defenses are programmed to think about remaining "on schedule" with 6- to 8-yard gains . Stafford has 1614 adjusted yards in 86 attempts. He forced the second-most inaccurate completions with 12, and Marvin Jones caught seven of those passes. (Even for Smith in 2014, 5.4 percent of his passes traveled at least 20 yards. Live From New York: Will AI Replace This Podcast. In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by ChrisS. But you can't isolate a QB from his surroundings. Something went wrong. Get complete game-by-game stats for quarterback Drew Brees on ESPN. Drew Brees Stats, News, Bio | ESPN Now that Ginn is gone, the Saints have Emmanuel Sanders, who ran a 4.39 40-yard dash and got open over the top in last years Super Bowl as a member of the 49ers. Only Jimmy Garoppolo who benefits hugely from the scheme in San Francisco when it comes to deep shots had a higher adjusted completion rate on deep passes than Deshaun Watson last season. Plays where the receiver catches the ball but has it knocked out of his hands. Burrow Brees Garoppolo Watson Herbert Cousins Murray Prescott Bridgewater Mahomes Pennington Ryan Warner Manning Rodgers Romo Rivers Wilson Carr Roethlisberger Brady Young 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 68.2 67.7 67.6 67.0 66.9 66.8 66.8 66.6 . A year ago, he was at the bottom end of nearly every list, particularly when it came to accuracy. When NFL legend Drew Brees suffered an injury on his throwing shoulder during the 2005 NFL season, it felt like his career was over. Some school's results have been altered by retroactive NCAA penalties. Or write about sports? He is one of just six passers with 1,000 or more yards on deep shots last season and managed to throw 11 touchdowns to only one interception on those plays. Alex Smith's efficiency score was sixth. There are 2-3 gif examples for every QB at his full website, including each QB's best downfield throw in his opinion: https://brickwallblitz.com/2018/03/28/the-2017-18-deep-ball-project/, In reply to Re: The Deep Ball Project by Toner. Drew Lock was born in Columbia, MO. As Lukas Matsson closes in on the acquisition of Waystar, Kendall pitches a revolutionary product: fancy retirement homes? Do you have a sports website? Really enjoyed these numbers and the commentary. Obviously things won't line up 100%, but some things I noticed: Different amount of 16yard+ attempts. Tom Brady's relatively poor rating surprises me a bit, given what I perceived as one of his better downfield seasons. Saints' Michael Thomas seemingly trolled Drew Brees on Twitter during Henderson ran track at LSU and recorded a 4.36-second 40-yard dash at the NFL combine. Even then, however, Smith wasn't the most surprisingly good downfield passer of 2017. had a passer rating of 97.1 with 8,695 yards, 54 touchdowns and 27 interceptions in 29 games against the. Thats especially concerning given that he had some pretty legit receivers to play with. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Three-Point Field Goal Percentage. What's the catch? Bill O'Brien had zero excuses for taking away those calls from Savage. Plays where the receiver catches the ball but can't control the ball as he hits the ground. BackCAST 2023: Is Zach Charbonnet Overrated? than any other quarterback last year, and they came at the cost of just one turnover-worthy play. Henderson, who was already in New Orleans when Brees arrived, was the first. Tyrod Taylor, like Smith, wasn't spectacular in accuracy but took outrageously good care of the football despite playing with arguably the worst receiving corps in the league, poor pass protection, and the second-highest rate of tight windows in the league. New Orleans Saints (52) Brees resents the implication that this development will prevent the Saints from contending. The only area he struggled in was on throws of 20 to 24 yards, where he finished 16th. My Wish 2007 Drew Brees - Devan Muller meets Drew Brees, Brees fires up LSU baseball with old Saints hype speech. Kizer also had 18 accurate incompletions, and also had a high efficiency score because he took care of the ball much better than expected. Allen can get the ball as deep as he wants it pretty much any time he wants to, and though he dialed it back in Year 2, he still went deep at the sixth-highest rate in the league. Is there some other bias we can't possibly see with a couple of potentially cherry picked examples? ESPN Enterprises, Inc. All rights reserved. Keenum was #1 in DYAR. Alex Smith had 1802 adjusted yards. Drew Brees of New Orleans Saints sets NFL mark for 400-yard - ESPN NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. He was also fourth on play-action, only behind Dak Prescott, Aaron Rodgers, and Eli Manning. Even Mason Rudolph, who only started eight games, had six more deep shots than Garoppolo did all year. Yes, that is Jacoby Brissett on the top. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. His accuracy into open windows was horrible and he took poor care of the ball downfield, getting lucky on passes that should have been picked off. When was Drew Brees drafted? While the attempt-difference question remains, of the 8 QBs who had less than a 10-attempt difference & 60 or more attempts total (by John's study), the rank-change was +7 (in John's) to -2. View a side-by-side comparison of Drew Brees and Jameis Winston.